Saturday 20 December 2014

The EV Tipping Point Will Come Quickly

CleanTechnica.com: An Interview With Fastned CEO Michiel Langezaal; Why The Mass Adoption Of EVs Is Inevitable

Though the Netherlands’ EV sales are picking up, Fastned cofounder & CEO Michiel Langezaal does not think they will reach the national goal of 200,000 EVs and plug-in hybrids on the road by 2020. There are still parts of the country that are beyond the reach of EVs with a 100-kilometers-per-charge range. Around 85% of the population does not have parking spaces at home where they can charge. Yet Langezaal says the EV tipping point will come quickly.



He gave four reasons for expecting to see EVs replace gas cars:
Batteries get better every year. They charge faster, hold more energy, last longer, and are cheaper.

Charging will eventually be as easy as filling up at a gas station.

Once the infrastructure is there, the switch to electric will be much easier.
Electric cars are “computers on wheels,” developed by software engineers. A gasoline car has one function, going forward. The apt comparison is an old dial phone to an iPhone.

The Dutch may not meet their target for 2020, but Langezaal expects to surge past the goal of 1 million EVs and plug-in hybrids by 2025.



“One million is only 15% of the total cars in the Netherlands,” he explained. “History shows us that once you hit 5% or 6%, if the product is better, then the breakthrough comes much quicker. So I think that 2020 figure will be hard to achieve. We will work very hard, 200,000 is quite a lot, but beyond 2020 we will not go to one million cars on the roads we will go to 8 million.”
Europe’s Electric Corridor

Fastned recently received €2 million from the EU to build 94 charging stations in Germany and the Netherlands.

This is part of a €4.2 million subsidy for a consortium of EV charging companies in four nations. The other members are CLEVER A/S from Denmark, Öresundskraft AB from Sweden, VDE Prüf-und Zertifizierungsinstitut GmbH from Germany, and the international EV-charging giant ABB. They will build an electric corridor that encompasses 35 locations in Sweden, 23 in Denmark, 30 in the Netherlands, and 67 in Germany.



“We’re working on the concessions for the locations (in Germany), after that comes building permits,” said Langezaal. “It could take a year, or two years before we start to build. It very much depends on government and my experience is that it takes years.”

He added, “Let’s hope we can use what we learned in the Netherlands to accelerate them.”

German automakers realize they need to build EVs if they want to survive, but they are still nervous. They are following behind Tesla and Nissan, who made that step three or four years ago. Last week, the German car magazine Autobild published a story about the opposition to Tesla.

“Changing a 100,000 people company to build electric cars is not easy,” conceded Langezaal.

There is not much growth in the German market, but the government has signed on to this deal. Langezall said that stamp of approval will be helpful when they start applying for permits. He also believes Germany will continue to lag behind Norway and the Netherlands for two or three years.



Fastned is a marked improvement over the slow charging network that Dutch municipalities like Amsterdam have invested in.

People don’t want slow chargers anymore. Some have even asked dealerships to take vehicles back, after discovering they cannot be fast charged.

Fastned originated as a Delft University startup, in 2010. One of the cornerstones of its success was acquiring 200 prime locations along the Netherlands’ highways.

“In the last two years, Fastned has looked like a real estate company: getting approval and permits; getting grid connections,” said Langezaal.

He added, “It’s like a flow pipe. At the beginning you’re pumping in stuff and at some point it starts flowing out the other side. I think things are beginning to flow.”

Fastned builds its charging stations in 2 to 2½ weeks (it takes 6 to 8 weeks for a gas station). It currently has 19 operational locations and another 10 in the planning stage. Fastned has been adding a new station every week since September.

Langezaal says EV owners are phoning the company every day. As there are only 4 superchargers in the Netherlands, even Tesla owners want to know if they can use Fastned stations.